Launch planner for Steam games

What comparable launches did — not a forecast

The spread of every launch that matches your plan — n = 8,530, by the same tag rule, price band and three-year window as the table below, which shows the 50 closest. The median is the typical result; the middle half is where half of these launches landed. Read over a fixed sample of 5,000 of them (a cut that has nothing to do with sales), not all 8,530. What games like yours sold, not what yours will. Every figure is our modeled estimate (model v3.2, see the methodology and its out-of-sample check against studio-stated sales), read from reviews, price and age — so it carries ≈, and one game's figure can be well off. A launch with no reviews at all counts as zero; one the store has since delisted is included; one that has reviews but no estimate is left out, and counted below.