Your wishlist count (from Steamworks) against launches we measured: each one's Steam followers just before release and the copies our model credits it with by the end of its first full month.
25,000 wishlists is about 1.5K Steam followers (between 781 and 2.5K). Steam publishes no wishlist counts. Estimated as followers × 17 (range × 10 to × 32), from 6 games whose studios stated their wishlist count — a rough estimate, not a reported figure.
Lower quarter
6.5K
copies, first full month
Typical (median)
13.8K
copies, first full month
Upper quarter
39.9K
copies, first full month
From 45 paid Steam launches of the last year with a follower reading in the 14 days before release: first-month copies per follower, lower quarter 4.42, median 9.37, upper quarter 27.13. Copies are modelled from reviews, not reported. Wishlist conversion depends heavily on price, genre and the launch discount; the launch planner reads comparable games for your tags and price.
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